Board Thread:Roleplay Ideas/@comment-25344655-20160605181318/@comment-26237442-20160605201429

to be honest your account of how europe would go is somewhat flawed. 1. Northern Ireland leaving would not be a massive blow 2. there are some countries outside the EU which could have avoided this kind athing (Norway etc) 3. Scotland seceding would never be clean cut, especially since the useful part of Scotland (the oil) would probably attempt to rejoin the UK. 4. you forgot about Wales as per usual 5. although the loss of Britain would be a blow it would not necasarily wipe out the EU (it does have Germany after all) and anyway both Ireland and the SNP party are pro-EU. 6. the refugee crisis would probably not cause a war in Europe (especially not a war between a aggressive group of Christians and Muslims seeing that in most European countries Christians are less feircly against non-christians than in America. There are already far more muslims in Europe then there are in the US and have been for centuries (looking at Eastern and southern Europe particularily).

A more likely situation would either be

1. a large country secedes from the EU and sparks off a general dissolvement of Europe making it tempting prey for the weakened Russia and filled with strife as isolationist parties fight against pro-EU governments (there are various anti-Eu groups in many European countries which would be strengthened by one country leaving and could easily cause problems for their governments)

2. the EU does not dissolve but ends up sandwiched between the USA and China (and the middle east) it is eventually torn apart by one faction or another (probably Russia but could also be China)

you've also completely forgotten about the other large armies sitiuated in Asia. Countries surrounding China have long been in an arms race (despite having a much lower population Cambodia has a similar army size to China). Japan would also cause a certain level of distress (although techincally it's not an army the Japanese "defence force" would still put up a fight). You've also forgotten about two other BRIC countries: India and Brazil. Both of these countries could easily become very powerful in a short space of time (India is overtaking China's population actually)